Bo Nix, Denver Broncos Should Enjoy Get-Right Game vs. Giants

Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos offense stunk last Sunday.

Yes, they beat the Jets 13-11, but that was despite the offense, not because of it.

They struggled through another lackluster performance, but this week the offense is going to get right against the Giants.

Bo Nix, Denver Broncos Offense Should Blow Out Giants

Alright, Bo, this is your time to shine.

Nix has been up and down this year, and really for his entire pro career, which only goes back to last season. Without a doubt, his best game came three weeks ago against the Bengals on Monday Night Football. Nix went 29-42 for 326 yards and 2 TDs, 1 INT. (Honorable mention the Colts game with 206 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT.)

That Cincy game was a must-win and a get-right game opportunity, which both happened for Nix and the Broncos.

And while Denver should've been able to run all over the Jets last week in London, they didn't. It was the Broncos worst rushing game of the year, with 78 yards, and worst offensive game all-around. Plus, Sean Payton took the ball out of Nix's hands for nearly two quarters of play.

This Sunday at Mile High—with the Super Bowl 50 team in attendance and the franchise honoring Demaryius Thomas—it's Bo time, baby!

Bo Nix is Going to Rip the Giants to Shreds

In the wild world of analytics, there are seemingly new stats created every day, and this one—pass funnel defense—points to Nix and his wideouts having a great day.

Shoutout to Denny Carter here, who's been dong a weekly funnel defense piece for NBC Sports since at least last year.

Carter wrote,

"Bo Nix and the Broncos are facing a pronounced pass funnel defense in the Giants. Only the Packers and Jaguars have faced a higher neutral pass rate than Big Blue this season, and New York opponents have been almost seven percent above their expected pass rate in neutral situations – the league’s second highest mark."

According to Rotoviz.com, opponents have chosen to throw the ball against the Giants 64% of the time on neutral downs. Neutral downs are when the game is within a touchdown either way, because play calling can get wacky when it's a blowout in either direction.

Simply, other offenses have decided they can throw all over New York, and the conventional stats agree.

The Giants average 202 pass yards allowed per game, which is 26th in the NFL. They also gave up a season-high 343 yards to the Cowboys in that tough OT loss in Week 2.

Typically, the Broncos pass 58% of the time, so expect them to be tilted toward throwing the ball this week.

Where Nix has struggled this year has been in the intermediate and deep throws. He's a great check-down quarterback, and Kirk Herbstreit on TNF talked about how many QBs dink and dunk down the field in today's NFL. It ain't exciting, but if that style of attack results in points while limiting turnovers, then Nix should go for it. But not just checking down.

When he's not throwing short, Nix is unleashing a bomb. He overthrew Marvin Mims last week when he carried too much momentum toward the line of scrimmage. It was the exact same thing that happened when he had three overthrows deep in the loss to the Chargers—two to Mims and one to Courtland Sutton.

Pretty much the only time we've seen any intermediate passing from Nix this year came on those touchdown drives in the second half against the Eagles. Outside a few against the Bengals.

Nix's intended air yards per pass attempt are 30th among 34 qualifying QBs, at 6.7 yards. That's average depth of target whether it's completed or not.

Payton has to know that defenses see Nix throws the ball at or near the line of scrimmage a lot. The old ball coach needs to help his young quarterback and the rest of the offense by keeping the Giants guessing as to where and who he's throwing to.

Another stat that should bode well for Bo and the O is: The Giants pressure rate is only 35.1%, in the bottom half of the league. And Denver's O-line is the best pass-blocking group in football.

Much like in the Bengals game, Nix has no excuses. He should be great on Sunday and that should help build his confidence during this important run where Denver could make a move in the AFC West.

One more stat: The Giants D allows 3rd down conversions 39.5% of the time, which is 16th. The Broncos O only converts on 36.6% (24th) so this is a chance for the offense to get-right, too. They did that against the Bengals (8-14), which was their best game of the year by far and the only game they had over a 50% conversion rate. 

When the Giants Have the Ball, the Broncos Will Win

Jaxson Dart and Cam Skattebo are the two most exciting rookie white boys in the NFL this year. And they're both on the same team.

When Dart's not running wild—and getting hit hard—Skattebo is running and hitting others. Or his head. Or shaking his head. Or doing back handsprings.

But these guys aren't going to be able to run like they have against the Denver defense.

Yes, according to the Rotoworld Football Show, Dart is only the 3rd QB in NFL history to run for 50 yards in his first three starts. But, as Carter said, 23% of his runs come against man coverage and Denver plays more man than anyone else.

That means he may run a lot this week, but he will probably get hit a lot, too.

Skattebo is a bowling ball and loves to truck people. The dunderhead has 338 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns, with a 4.1 YPC average.

But Denver's defense is 6th against the run, allowing only 89 rush yards per game. That includes getting gashed by the Colts for 167.

The Giants offense is 19th on 3rd downs (39.5%) while the Broncos defense is No. 1 (27.2%). New York is also god awful in the red zone, at 40.9% which is 30th. Denver's again best here, allowing scores on only 28.6% of drives that get inside their 20.

The Broncos defense has been a bend-don't-break unit most of the year, forcing opponents to settle for field goals. If they do that again this week, the Broncos should win easily. And if Bo is on fire they could approach the 30-point mark, which they haven't hit yet this season.

Special Teams Struggles

Shoutout to Joe Mahoney for noticing the Broncos are giving up the most return yardage in the NFL.

The Broncos are now the worst team in the league in terms of average KOR allowed.

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— Joe Mahoney (@ndjomo.bsky.social) October 13, 2025 at 6:51 AM

The Giants are 5th in the NFL in return average, at 27.2 yards per kick. So, the Broncos need to be much better there this week and not allow a kick return touchdown or something silly.

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